| Solving the Riddle of the Sagging Ozone
Layer
A sag in the ozone layer over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
that has caught the attention of the world. Experts have warned
that if this sagging phenomenon persists, the holes in the
ozone layer over the north and south poles will increase to
include a third over the roof of the world.
For over 200 days Chinese and Japanese scientists have conducted
a joint investigation, and collected large amounts of first-hand
materials concerning the sagging ozone layer. They are currently
processing and analyzing this data in the hopes of finding
an explanation for the sag.
The scientific investigation, initiated in June 1998, is a
cooperative project between the China Natural Science Fund
and the Chinese and Japanese governments. According to Shi
Guangyu, the chief scientist on the Chinese side of the project
and a research fellow from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics
under the Chinese Academy of Sciences, until all the data
have been processed and analyzed, no conclusions can be drawn
as to identifying the factors contributing to the formation
of the sag. The whole process will take some time.
Affecting the Ecology in Tibet
In the summer of 1996 Chinese scientists, represented by Zhou
Xiuji, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,
first discovered the low point in the ozone layer over the
Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, by means of ground observation material
and through analyzing the American meteorological satellite
data. Since then the question of whether a third hole will
appear in the ozone layer has become the focus of worldwide
attention. International environmental protec6tion organizations,
composed mainly of executive members of the Multilateral Fund
of the UN Montreal Convention, have commenced investigations
and assessment in Tibet.
Ozone is a molecule composed of three oxygen atoms. The ozone
layer within the atmosphere can be as close as 30 kilometers
from the earth's surface, and its function is to block harmful
ultraviolet rays from the sun. It has been described as a
"protective umbrella" for the earth. Unfortunately,
the ozone layer has been severely damaged in recent years
due to excessive use of freon, causing ozone holes to appear
over the north and south poles.
It has been proved that a low ozone phenomenon has occurred
above the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, resulting in large amounts
of 'unfiltered" ultraviolet rays, which could be the
cause of the sharp increase in cataract cases and other diseases
among inhabitants of the plateau, variations within local
plant and animal species, the acceleration of melting of glaciers,
and other ecological damage.
According to an environment investigation report published
by the Tibetan Autonomous Regional Government, the temperature
has, in recent years, increased in most parts of Tibet. The
thin ozone layer has caused a high proportion of exposure
to ultraviolet rays. The situation is exacerbated by snow
and rocks having a strong reflective capacity for ultraviolet
rays. Consequently, occurrences of cataracts on the plateau
have increased year by year, to the extent that the area has
the highest incidence in China. The age of such occurrence
is also five to ten years younger than that in flat areas.
In recent years the glaciers on the plateau have shown a tendency
to thaw faster, resulting in an increase in vaporization and
rainfall. In the flooding season, the water level of rivers
rises sharply, causing serious soil erosion. Meanwhile, the
water level of alpine lakes has lowered, causing soil desiccation
of varying degrees in the valleys and around the lakes.
Though no accurate quantitative and qualitative analysis has
been made of the damage to wild animals and plants in Tibet
caused by the increasing amount of proven that the snow line
in northern Tibet has risen by 100-150 meters, which may have
caused changes in the areas inhabited by animals around the
snow line, and consequently to their eating and living habits,
reproductive rhythms and general living conditions.
Fortunately, most areas on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau have
maintained their natural ecological environment. Most of the
1,500 large and small lakes on the plateau are at their protogenic
stage. Forests cover 7.17 million hectares, and grassland,
130 million hectares. At present, Tibet has 13 nature reserves
which are classified as above provincial level, and 39 wild
plant and 125 wild animal species have been placed under state
protection. Moreover, the area has negligible industrial pollution.
Sino-Japanese Joint Efforts
Since 1998 the Institute of Atmospheric Physics under the
Chinese Academy of Sciences has cooperated with the institute
of the Sun and Earth Environment attached to Japan's Nagoya
University in conducting high-altitude exploration, using
balloons, and an aerosol survey by laser radar. According
to Shi Guangyu, few areas of the world have conducted synchronized
surveys of the vertical distribution of ozone and aerosol,
and this is the first time such a survey has ever been carried
out on the plateau. The cost of an ozone explorer is over
10,000 yuan, while that of an aerosol explorer is more than
100,000 yuan, and, since they are irretrievable, they can
be used only once. For this reason, these scientists cannot
conduct such surveys very often.
To conduct comparative studies and thereby reduce costs, Shi
and his people cooperated with the Chinese Institutes of Meteorological
Science and made an ozone survey by means of ground brewer
spectrophotometers and an aerosol survey by means of laser
radar that is capable of reaching an altitude of 30,000 meters.
Over a period of 220 days, they obtained nearly 100 batches
of laser radar data. Meanwhile, they made 22 ozone explorations,
three aerosol explorations and carried out joint studies of
basic meteorological elements, such as terrestrial sun radiation,
aerosol particle spectrum, black carbon aerosol, ozone on
the ground surface, sulfur dioxide and nitrogenous oxide.
According to Shi Guangyu, a basic analysis of this data indicates
that the plateau is exposed to a high degree of sun radiation
in summer and is therefore a source of heat. Above the plateau
there is a strong rising airflow. Ozone is thin on the top
of the troposphere at the altitude of 15 kilometers above
Lhasa; the divided voltage of ozone is the highest at the
altitude of 25 kilometers; and at the altitude of 30-40 kilometers,
the proportional mixture is the highest.
From June to October, the total amount of ozone above the
plateau is at least 10 percent less than that of areas to
its east at the same latitude. However, with increasing governmental
attention and concern directed towards protecting the ozone
layer, the ozone loss over the plateau is expected to slow
down. Based on the available data and the perceptible development
trend, Shi believes that lost ozone is likely to be recovered
within 50 years and no hole will form in the ozone above the
plateau.
Ozone Sagging needs More Study
Some experts suggest that apart from industrial discharge,
dynamic and thermodynamic functions are also major culprits
as regards the sagging of the ozone layer over the Qinghai-Tibet
Plateau. in summer, the plateau is the richest source of heat
emanating out to the atmosphere. The atmosphere at an altitude
of 18 kilometers and lower is subject to a strong upward vertical
airflow, lifting the lower air that contains less ozone and
thereby diluting ozone at a higher altitude. They cited the
huge thermal and dynamic power generated by air circulation
as the cause of ozone loss above the Rocky Mountains, the
Andes and the Alps.
Shi concedes that this theory might explain one of the reasons,
but does not consider that it can accurately reflect the whole
situation, because it cannot explain why ozone over the plateau
has consistently decreased since 1979, while there is no concurrent
evidence of an increased upward airflow. He points our that
the ozone sag over the plateau might be a completely different
phenomenon from the decrease of ozone over the north and south
poles. The latter is mainly caused by a chemical process,
while the former might be caused by a mixture of dynamic and
chemical processes, most likely a non-homogeneous chemical
process related to aerosol, as the current data indicate a
high content of aerosol at the altitude between 15 and 25
kilometers above Lhasa.
Shi says the first-hand data from the aerosol survey and the
laser radar observation of ozone and aerosol have great scientific
significance to the study of the ozone sag over the plateau.
the data can give an explanation as to how the dynamic and
chemical processes function to create the sag in the ozone
layer over the plateau, as well as providing material for
a comparative study of the ozone decrease in the north and
south poles. The data are also very important to the study
of global ozone changes and their effects on the climate and
environment.
|